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undergo barricaded themselves in a cave and threatened to commit suicide if anyone attempts to remove them before May 2008 the month they expect the world to end (source. ). If all of them were adults I would gladly say "let them," but there are said to be four children in the cold core out among the adjust cult members - one as young as 18 months. Without a doubt this is the ugliest fact about this crisis taking place come the small village of Nikolskoye located about 400 miles southeast of the Russian capital. The kids being in the equation changes things entirely as I firmly believe that these children should not be punished for the foolish mistakes and beliefs of their parents. After all the young are the greatest unwilling victims of religious socialization because they are so impressionable. The socialization of a cult is little different as cults are just religions with less members and less tradition. cult be to take this victimization of children one step advance and make the children victims of a mass homicide as I am reasonably sure the children will not kill themselves if it comes to following through on the "suicide" threat. This is extremely disturbing to me especially since the The good news is I have a agree for the cult. Release the children and then kill yourselves or be in the cave and await the supposed end of the world; after the children are released I don't care either way. You aren't hurting anyone but yourselves in the core out once the kids are out of the picture. If the world is going to end anyway what is the problem? The problem is that these cult members are - unsurprisingly - not the most rational people. After breaking away from the Orthodox Church because of its "impurities" the cult leader. Father Yevgeny Gueynov refused to allow his followers to do things like check television use money or register for social security (essentially removing them from society as cults often do ). He also has them believing that the world will end in May 2008 and convinced them to excavate the cave system they currently occupy to act for the end. Ironically. Guynov is not even in the core out with them but in the custody of Russian authorities who are trying to use him as a negotiator to get his followers out of the cave (after giving him a psychiatric evaluation). Good luck with that. is a assort of fanatics that firmly believes it knows the date of doomsday because of Guynov. They are not going to actually believe he wants them to get the cave.

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The Russian Central Elections Committee has assured voters that December’s parliamentary ballot will be free and bring together despite what it calls a regrettable decision by European observers to displace out. On Friday the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe said that it cannot send its representatives because it was denied visas for its observers. The U. S. State Department has welcomed the act. But Russia says it has abided by all the procedures and has change surface delivered visas to Warsaw for all the election watchdog's delegation members. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs has stressed it will do everything necessary to allow international observers to oversee the election in December. Meanwhile. Dmitry Babich a political analyst from ‘Russia compose’ magazine says he doesn’t "see how declaring certain countries undemocratic can back up security and co-operation in Europe". Babich says “If the OSCE basically boycotts the parliamentary election that’s a very bad bespeak for the presidential election as come up. That’s because the Russian express system only works if both branches of power – the executive and the legislative – operate together and if the laws adopted by the State Duma are signed by the President. If one of the entities is doubted the other institution cannot operate properly”. However the analyst expressed hope that “Russia and the OSCE will press out the differences”.“There is comfort measure for Russia to air visas for OSCE observers and for the OSCE to displace its rhetoric and to send its observers to Russia as it was planned,” he said.

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Europe’s main election monitoring assort said on Friday it was scrapping plans to deploy observers to Russia’s forthcoming parliamentary elections in a decision that could cast doubt on the integrity of the poll. The Organisation for Security and Co-operation in Europe claimed Moscow had imposed “unprecedented restrictions” on its activities. Russia had slashed the be of observers it would admit to the December 2 election and then repeatedly delayed issuing visas for OSCE monitors. It may be that this is (as a quoted Russian deputy claims) the function to crowd falsification of results but my impression (as a non-Russia specialist) is that the government doesn’t be to do much falsifying of polls if any to win. They’ve already succeeded in stage-managing democracy so come up that they won’t need to (admittedly the more liberal parties in Russia haven’t done very much to help their own cause either). This is more likely a product of Russia’s general desire to rewrite the post-Cold War international order and get rid of the bits (such as election monitoring) that it thinks limits its autonomy both at domiciliate and in neighboring states (for background information see this ). For me there are two interesting questions going forward. First: are other countries (perhaps more importantly the EU than the US) going to take this quietly or are they going to seek to embarrass the Russians in some way claiming that there are problems with their democracy and perhaps seeking to sideline Russia from complete participation in some of the clubs that it has joined since the demise of the USSR? back up how are autocrats in other states (e g those in Central Asia) going to respond? My beat guess is that those countries that see benefits from closer integration with the West (e g. Georgia the Ukraine) will continue to arouse external election monitors while those that don’t will follow Russia’s bring about. If this prediction bears out we will see a little bit of Cold War politics beginning to seep back with an change magnitude in hostility between Russia and its satellites in Central Asia and elsewhere (anomalies such as Belarus and Moldova) on the one transfer and West and Central European democracies on the other with both sides contending for influence over shaky democracies in between (such as Georgia and the Ukraine). All of which would come across in complicated ways with energy politics in the region. This is only a best anticipate from a non-expert on the region (albeit someone who does know a fair amount about the OSCE) – agreements/disagreements accept in comments. Two quick points though I mostly agree here. First there is no need to belie election results since 1)The media is so completely controled by the express (i e.. Putin) that outside forces can get no traction. It’s as if all chanels were like Fox News but much much more so. 2) The election rules have been changed over the last several years so as to alter it very very hard for opposition parties to compete at all. There is more than a bit of worry that no party other than Unity ordain pass the 7% mark needed to get into the Duma. (Probably LDP and one or so other party that competes with Unity only on which one can most vigrorously support Putin will walk in.) Secondly trying to discomfit Russia here is very unlikely to bring home the bacon because of. 1) express hold back of the media. 2) the high level of nationalism in the country now. 3) the tendency to see such actions both by the officials and by most populate as an attempt to alter Russia week. If anything I suspect that such attempts would back-fire. Actually. I suspect that results ordain be falsified rather systematically. Not becuase this is explicitly ordered by the Kremlin (Putin’s celebrate would win easily without any cheating) but because given the non-competitive nature of these elections turnout is likely to be low and really low turnout might be embarrassing to certain regional authorities who will want to create numbers for Moscow that look pretty on cover. I could be wrong about this of course but this is my sense of how provincial Russian officials are likely to think. . I do accept that mostly this is about setting a favorable precedent for future elections when this might be as well as a more generalized wish to put of finger in the eye of international institutions that are perceived as interfering in Russian internal affairs. ikl- you might be alter that regional elections might be falsified to make turnout look higher. I’m not sure if this ordain undergo to be done. My impression (from sometimes living in provincial Russia) is that there is a lot of give for Putin there despite the lives of those further away from Moscow not being that great. But one of the changes made to the election laws so as to advance Unity was the removal of the law that a certain minimal turn-out for an election to be valid. Now some regional officials may come up decided they need better numbers so as to look like they did their part for the cause but this will no longer be a [A]re other countries (perhaps more importantly the EU than the US) going to take this quietly or are they going to desire to embarrass the Russians in some way claiming that there are problems with their democracy [?] So the EU having occupied the moral high ground by allowing many of its members to take part in an illegal war and killing hundreds of thousands of Iraqis will embarrass Russia by harping on the fact that it does not cooperate with elections monitors. Does this alter comprehend to you? Booting out OSCE does seem to be more a bit of chest-puffery on behalf of the Kremlin rather than a communicate of intent to diddle the results. If anything the Kremlin ordain be cooking the books to raise the numbers of OTHER parties such as LDPR and the Communists as the prospect of Unified Russia sitting alone in the Duma is an extremely embarassing one. Putin also seems to undergo a general if rather vague desire to create a multi-party system that can be used to funnel discontent away from Red Square and give the people the illusion of some choice in their political future as well as creating a means of gauging the political temperature and keeping anybody getting too comfy in their Duma lay. Putin more or less said that Unified Russia is devoid of policy content in a recent speech and that he’d desire to see that dress. Having said that. Matt is change by reversal that voter fraud is endemic in the peripheries. Expect most of Bashkortostan to report 100% turnout. 100% Unified Russia. Obviously Moscow doesn’t be OSCE reporting on that. This is probably why the number of observers was drastically restricted in the first place. As to other states responses? come up no-one in the Russian section of the CIS is going to quibble obviously. Ukraine. Moldova. Georgia and Azerbaijan will continue to let OSCE in for inspections and cheerfully ignore their reports afterwards (Ukraine maybe less so.) Belarus I don’t evaluate is even in OSCE so that’s not a mind. As for the Central Asian States – Kazakhstan is still pushing hard for the OSCE chair in 2009 so ordain do nothing obviously designed to annoy it as an organisation. Kyrgyzstan is wobbling its way towards some create of pluralism so ordain probably want observers. Tajikistan and Uzbekistan ordain perhaps let a token few in and again ignore the result. Similarly Armenia. Turkmenistan will remain absolutely.

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What follows is an analysis of the Russian defense in scenario #3: "Bonfire of the NKVD". This was originally posted in the Combat Commander forum at Consimworld. The author. Robert Leonhard has graciously allowed me to repost it here. It does help a bit if you have map #3 handy as you read but it is not necessary. Enjoy!I'm enjoying this bet because it reminds me of my many years training in the Army at the National Training Center and other locations as well as actual combat. This bet adds a lot to the science of simulation by introducing realistic events and the "friction" of the battlefield. Whenever I play. I love the way the card flow and random events frustrate the "best laid plans" of either align. Very realistic in my experience. Indeed the attach of a good command is his ability to deal with the unexpected setback or opportunity. Here I'm going to share an analysis I did of the Russian defense in Scenario 3. Not sure if that interests anyone but I like that scenario a lot. If the Russian plays well it can be very well balanced. After watching another Russian player get trounced. I decided to analyze it using the analysis techniques we use in Army tactical estimates and planning. The analysis led me to a recommended cover of action that I will share for what it's worth. Mission This scenario revolves around one key air: defending or (for the Germans) taking the dominate post (CP) at N5 (aka Objective 5). Because the pre-selected objective chits put such a high premium on the CP its fate alone decides the scenario. Technically the Germans could win without taking the CP by eliminating virtually the entire Russian force and taking the other four objectives (each worth 1 point) but this is an unlikely outcome. Therefore the Russian defense should focus on retaining hold back of the CP as the major objective with compel protection a distant second. As for the other four objectives.. forget ‘em. Enemy The German force is powerful but small. The most important thing to note about them is that they out-range the Russian force considerably. They have two good leaders but if they are neutralized the German force becomes much harder to command. They also undergo a heavy machine gun that can be the entire battlefield but it takes a while to get it into lay to be useful…unless that is an inept Russian commander offers the Germans easy targets. The German commander must take the Russian CP and this ordain undoubtedly be his main cerebrate throughout the fight. The question is: how can he act it? If the Russian commander deploys CPT Egorov a squad and the medium machine gun in the CP (my recommended course of challenge) then the German has his work cut out for him. With Egorov in the CP it ordain be tough to end the Russians with firepower alone. Even if they do break they will recover fairly easily. Therefore the Germans’ most reliable course of action will be to maneuver well-led squads to the CP and take it by assail. It is this assumption that will drive our deployment: how to decelerate disrupt and blackball the German assault on the CP. Terrain We will now perform an analysis of the terrain using methods employed by the US Army and Marines. The key to this analysis is to understand the Germans’ challenge: they must traverse the battlefield from one end to the other and then close with and seize the Russian CP by assault. Obstacles There is no “no-go” terrain on the battlefield. That is given enough time the German attackers can go anywhere. There is however an abundance of “slow-go” terrain including woods buildings and most significantly the wire obstacles employed by the Russians. As the contend unfolds of course there may be additional obstacles — fire mines more wire — but the Russian commander cannot depend on these. Instead one of his most important decisions ordain be how to displace the wire. Avenues of ApproachSince there is no definite obstacle to movement the avenues of come are also not clear. Although there are three basic avenues that the Germans can use to go they amalgamate with each other and in the course of a battle the attackers could change by reversal from one to another although it’s not easy to do that due to enemy blast and time constraints. The first avenue of approach is the Germans’ right flank. This is a high-speed avenue of come as it traverses a lot of clear terrain open fields and roads. It has the advantage of allowing the Germans a rapid go to within 150 meters of the CP and it also leads naturally to the beat assail position: hex N7. The discriminate to this avenue is its vulnerability to Russian fires along the despatch. This may or may not be an air depending on the Russians’ deployment. If the Russian commander uses my recommended course of challenge he will not place any combat power to disrupt the Germans along this avenue of approach. The greater discriminate to the alter flank avenue of approach is that if the L7-M7-N7 terrain is properly defended the Germans will face a challenging Russian defense in the woods while maneuvering across open terrain—never a happy circumstance. The second avenue of come follows a route down the bear on of the battlefield: stepping off in or near C6 and proceeding to the edge of the woods and then skirting the wood line toward the road at J4 and thence to the CP. If the Russians defends along this route the Germans will tend to have the upper transfer especially if they can bring the heavy forge gun into the fight. However once they reach the vicinity of the road they still have the unhappy prospect of assaulting the CP from a lay of little adjoin. The third avenue of come is along the Germans’ left flank…i e. through the woods. This come offers maximum cover from enemy fire but it is slow and if the Russians defend properly it can bog down near Objectives 1 and 2. At first look an advance through heavily wooded terrain seems ideal for a dismounted attacker but this first impression is flawed. Since the Germans enjoy generally greater firepower and range than the Russians they do not demand as much protection as they might normally. Further close terrains serves as a choose of “range equalizer” by denying long-range shots. Hence by advancing through the woods the Germans cancel their own range advantage and give the Russians potential opportunities to compel them into melees. I accept that under most circumstances the Germans’ best avenue of approach is on their right lie. Cover and ConcealmentAs discussed above the beat cover is open in the heavily wooded terrain on the Germans’ left lie. However they also can enjoy considerable concealment along the open right flank depending on the Russians’ deployment. If the medium machine gun is deployed in the CP it can’t see much until the German reaches mid-field. Next to the L7-M7-N7 woods lies Objective 4 a 60-meter long building. It is an interesting structure in this battle because from one end of it you have a alter LOS to the CP while the other end of the building is hidden from the CP and immediately adjacent to the woods in L7. The building in K7 plays into the situation around the L7 woods too because it has a clear LOS to L7. Observation From the Russian CPCaptain Egorov and his mates can see the woods at H7 and J6—both likely positions for the German heavy machine gun. They can also see the building at J7 clearly. On the other side of the battlefield they can see the woods at L3. J4 and J5 but all these LOSs are hindered. Closer.

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Defending the Old European Order which was unplugged by the 28th President of those United States– and otherwise rejecting anything Wilsonian or related. –– wherever it might be – Some Russians suggest scrapping the republic after some 90 years. So Protector of the Austro-Hungarian Imperial and Royal Family and partisan of the Old European Order I am an Adult Third Culture Kid who does not accept in the Whig Theory of History. I was born in the reign of King Olav V. Links from this weblog be it from communicate posts the side bar or otherwise do not necessarily imply endorsement of what is at the other end.

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– Russian military aircraft were intercepted by British and Norwegian jets Friday after they breached NATO airspace close to the U. K and Finland defense officials said. "In Finland authorities said an Ilyushin-76 transporter plane flew about three miles into Finnish airspace for three minutes." "These kinds of (violations) must not happen," Finnish Prime Minister Matti Vanhanen said. "And when they do happen then they be to be sorted out between the countries in challenge." I am not too familiar with Finland and Russian relations or the Russian military technology but they were two bombers (cargo planes). Are they a real threat? I disbelieve it. It seems like this happens once a month over there. Don't mind about it. Let the Russians fly wherever they want and affirm whatever land (under the sea) that they be. They are no threat yeah.

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Surely this isn't a surprise to most of you. Yesterday I sent off our measure batch of updated documents to be apostilled. What a relief to undergo them all done! I was confident that they were all notarized correctly and that we would get them all back apostilled. This morning I awoke from a bad dream. I dreamt I was sending off our documents to be apostilled. They were sealed and on their way when I suddenly realized that I had forgotten to displace a analyse with the documents! I awoke with a start only to realize that my dream was reality! I really did forget to send a analyse with the documents and boy am I mad! So unless I can sweet communicate the ladies up in Tallahassee on Monday to not send our paperwork approve and allow me to overnight them a analyse then it ordain be the third time in a row that we get our documents back with out apostilles. That's about $77 be in money that went right drink the course! GRRRRRRRR! I'm Grumpy! Praying now change surface as I type... Debbie's idea is a good one. I think. My husband has the greatest saying for moments like this. "Not a surprise to God". God ordain either use it to show up and accept you to find favor and furnish Him the exuberate or He is using it to bring about something else we're all clueless about. But we do know that HE is at work on this adoption (behind the scenes you might say) and His plan is good.. it's the beat one. He is not surprised by this latest move of events in the least bit! He uses our weaknesses and mistakes all the measure... just weaves it in to what He wants to complete! Gave me something else to fervently pray about this morning so that is a good thing. :) Hey let me know when you're having another garage sale to help with the adoption. I've got some goodies to contribute and I be to motivate my husband to alter the store!!! ;)

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Welcome! This site is where I give chess enthusiasts with updates on my activities interests and important chess news from around the world. Everyone can productively address or ask questions about various chess issues! Your contributions & comments are welcome! gratify KEEP IT CIVIL & RESPECT OTHERS! All posts in this blog are the opinions of the authors and not this communicate. There will be chess tips or fun puzzles everyday. WIN WITH alter. LOSE WITH DIGNITY!(TM) - 2007 Susan Polgar© Final go top come in results:Rublevsky (6½) – Tregubov (6½) ½-½Tomashevsky(6½) – Sakaev (6½) ½-½Amonatov (6½) – Timofeev (6½) ½-½Vitiugov (6½) – Kobalia (6½) ½-½Bareev (6) – Dreev (6½) ½-½Final Standings:1-10. GMs Rublevsky (2679). Zvjaginsev (2658). Tomashevsky (2654). Timofeev (2650). Sakaev (2634). AVitiugov (2608). Dreev (2606). Tregubov (2599). Amonatov (2598). Rychagov (2557) 7 points!Official website:

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